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(12/02/2004) COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN : Full-year 2003 net sales: EUR 15.4 billion - Sales

COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN Full-year 2003 net sales: EUR 15.4 billion Sales volumes: +3.7% (a) February 12, 2004 At constant scope and exchange rates, 2003 net sales are up 5%. Given the continued appreciation of the euro, especially versus the US dollar, and further to the consolidation of Viborg in Group accounts in the 4 th quarter (+EUR 313 million in Group net sales), net sales are down 1.8%. Operating conditions (tire markets, exchange rates, raw materials...) were globally in line with Group expectations as indicated upon publication of 3 rd quarter net sales on October, 22.
(in EUR million) 
2003 
2002 
Consolidated net sales 15,369.8 15,645.1 
Excluding the impact of N/A 14,342.5(b) 
exchange rate variations   
 4th quarter 2003 4th quarter 2002 
 4,221.1 3,958.9 
Excluding the impact of N/A 3,677.4(b) 
exchange rate variations   
 
2003 
2003 
4th quarter 
4th quarter 
   2003 2003 
 Total change Total change 
 2003/ 2002 (4th quarter 03/4th quarter 02) 
 In EUR million Accrued % In EUR million Accrued % 
 -275.3 -1.80% 262.2 6.60% 
Of which exchange rates : - 1,302.6 -8.30% -281.5 -7.10% 
Volumes : 477.2 3.30% 214.4 5.80% 
Price/Mix : 237.6 1.60% 16.7 0.40% 
Scope of consolidation : 312.6 2.10% 312.6 8.00% 
(a) Evolution of Group sales volumes (in tons) of tire products. Distribution, maps and guides and suspension systems sales not included. (b) Net sales for 2002 recalculated at 2003 exchange rates 1. Analysis of the impact on the change in net sales The main factors impacting financial year 2003 net sales were as follows: - Positive impact (+3.3%) of higher sales volumes. Sales volume expressed in tons was up 3.7% compared to 2002. - Positive price / mix effect of +1.6% at constant exchange rates. One should note a bare +0.4% price/mix effect in the 4 th quarter due to the strong rebound of OE markets for commercial vehicles. - Negative impact (-8.3%) of exchange rates as a result of the continued appreciation of the euro against all currencies, especially North and South American and Asian currencies. - Lastly, positive 2.1% scope effect due to a change in Group scope of consolidation compared to 2002. Following acquisition of the European tire distribution activities of Viborg effective March 31, 2003, Viborg - which was being integrated into Euromaster - appeared in the 4 th quarter consolidated accounts of the financial year as of April 1 st . The corresponding impact to Michelin group net sales amounted to EUR 313 million. If flows from the above observations that excluding the impact of currency fluctuations and changes in scope of consolidation, Michelin net sales posted a 5.0% increase. 2. Evolution of World Tire Markets Tire markets fared slightly better than Group expectations. European replacement markets, in particular the passenger car and light truck market, showed surprisingly strong growth despite the current economic conditions.
Passenger Car 
Replacement 
Original 
& Light Truck   Equipment 
(In units) Market market 
 2003 2003 
Total NA NA 
Europe(c) 5.40% -3.60% 
North America(a) 0.40% -3.00% 
South America NA NA 
Asia NA NA 
NA: Not Available
Truck 
Replacement 
Original Equipment 
(In units) Market market 
 2003 2003 
Total NA NA 
Europe(b) 2.30% + 2.8%(c) 
North America(d) + 1.5%(e) 4.60% 
South America NA NA 
Asia NA NA 
(c) Western (15 main markets) and Eastern Europe (excl. Community of Independent States) (a) United States, Canada and Mexico (b) Western Europe (15 main markets) (c) Power units market (d) United States, Canada and Mexico (e) Radial + bias tire market - in Europe The Passenger Car and Light Truck tire replacement market rose 5.4%, well above the long-term 2 to 3% trend generally observed in Europe. 2003 posted sustained growth throughout the period (+5.2% in H1 and +5.5% in H2) in almost all the tire segments. While the high performance, 4x4 and winter segments that have been buoyant for the last five years continued to perform well (respectively 14%, 14%, 9%) in 2003, decline in the mass market segment was capped at -1% as opposed to-4/-5%. The Passenger Car and Light Truck Original Equipment market declined by - 3.6% as a consequence of the production cuts decided by the European car manufacturers in the 2 nd and 3 rd quarters. On the other hand, the market witnessed a positive 0.5% growth in the 4 th quarter as some car manufacturers increased output, following improved car sales in some European countries. In Truck replacement, the Western European market was up 2.3% year-on-year and down 2.8% in the fourth quarter. Following the growth of the market noticed in the first six months of 2003 driven by advance purchasing, ahead of price increases announced by various tire makers, the market remained flat in the second half of the year. In Eastern Europe, the product-mix continued to improve in favor of Western-like modern truck tire solutions (radial as opposed to bias tires, drop center wheel as opposed flat rim). The retread market continued its long-term decline due to the gradual exit of small retread actors as a result of tighter EU regulations. The Truck Original Equipment market was contrasted. The power units segment was up 2.8% year-on-year although still below 2000 levels (-8.5%). Registrations in Western Europe were slightly down while exports outside Europe showed signs of improvement. The trailer market was noticeably weak, as a result of declining demand from the trucking industry and financial difficulties experienced by several European trailer manufacturers. - in North America The Passenger Car and Light Truck Tire Replacement market was up 0.4% year-on-year, against a -0.3% decline at end September. The rebound in the second half of the year has been mostly fuelled since June by the mechanical recovery of the SUV segment, after two years of decline in the wake of the two Firestone recalls (2000 & 2001). Long-term trends remain unchanged, with an improved market-mix: SUV and performance tire segments continued to grow whereas mass-market fell 4.8% on 2002. One should note that, in 2003, the market reverted to its long term moderate growth of ‘premium' brands with the latter's market share consolidating and temporarily benefiting ‘value' brands. On the Passenger Car and Light Truck Original Equipment market, the -4.1% downward trend observed at end September swung back in the 4 th quarter, to + 0.7%. At year end, the market was down -3.0%. As in the case of the replacement market, the SUV and High Performance segments continued to outperform while the mass market segment was down 14%. In Truck, the positive evolution of the replacement market (up 5.1% in the 4 th quarter and 1.5% for the full year 2003) can be explained by the first signs of recovery of the US economy and the price increase announcements by the major tire manufacturers during the 4 th quarter. The market, however, remains 1.6% short of its 1999 level. In Original Equipment, overall, trends are encouraging: the market showed an aggregate 4.6% increase and the 4 th quarter (up 18.7%), saw the first evidence of rebound of the power unit segment after 3 consecutive difficult years . One should bear in mind that the 4 th quarter 2002 posted a significant slowdown after a very strong 3 rd quarter that had benefited from advance purchases of ‘Class 8' trucks ahead of the introduction of new emission standards effective 1 October, 2002. The fleet of ‘Class 8' tractors purchased during the peak years from 1997 to 1999 was now four to six years old and will have to be renewed in the coming years. In addition, the inventory of good low mileage, late model used trucks that was weighing on the market in 2001 and 2002 has disappeared. The trailer market also showed solid growth in 2003 after low 2001-2002 sales and due to ageing trailer fleets in North America. - In South America, most of the other South American countries continued to face difficult economic conditions whereas the Brazilian and Argentinean economies were gradually recovering. Nevertheless, one should note the strong pick-up in OE truck markets as well as the continuing radialization of the truck market. - In Asia, the situation varies widely from country to country. In China, the third largest market behind Japan and South Korea, Passenger Car and Light Truck tire replacement markets have enjoyed the same dynamic growth as in recent years. The Japanese Replacement market, by contrast, continued to stagnate. Passenger Car and Light Truck Original Equipment markets also showed buoyant growth in China and in South Korea. In Japan, the export business remained high. The Chinese radial Truck tire market posted growth trends almost as strong as in 2002, but the Japanese replacement market was down about 4.3% compared to its 2002 level (itself some 3% below 2001). - The Middle-East and African region benefited in 2003 from further improvement in Turkey's economic health and improved economic conditions in the Persian Gulf, mostly due to the sustained high level of crude oil prices. However, markets remained difficult in Africa due to the various economic and political problems plaguing this area. 3. Evolution by Michelin business segment
Net sales 
2003 
2003 / 2002 (in %) 
 (in E million)  
Group 15,369.8 -1.80% 
Passenger Car & Light truck 7,456.8 -6.20% 
Truck 3,968.5 0.60% 
Other activities 4,859.3 4.80% 
Inter-sector eliminations -914.8 3.50% 
Sales volume variations (change in %, 2003 / 2002)
 
Total 
Replacement 
Original Equipment(a) 
Group (in tons(b)) 3.70% 4.10% 3.00% 
Passenger Car & Light Truck 0.40% 2.60% -4.40% 
(in units sold)    
Truck (in units sold(c)) 4.20% 4.80% 3.00% 
Other tire activities (in tons) 2.10% 0.90% 5.00% 
(a) Original equipment : sales to vehicle manufacturers (b) Refers to the sale of tire products. Distribution, maps and guides and suspension systems sales not included. (c) Number of new tires 3.1 Passenger Car & Light Truck This segment benefited from further improvement in the product and category mix. Excluding the impact of currency fluctuations, the segment's net sales were up more than 3.6% year-on-year. Sales volume variations (change in %, 2003 / 2002)
Passenger Car/ Light Truck 
Total 
Replacement 
Replacement 
Original 
Original 
(in units sold)   Market Equipment Equipment 
     Market 
Total 0.40% 2.60% N/A -4.40% N/A 
Europe(c) -0.70% 5.10% 5.40% -11.20% -3.60% 
North America(d) -1.00% -0.90% 0.40% -1.30% -3.00% 
Other geographical areas(e) 9.20% 7.10% N/A 13.90% N/A 
- In European replacement, the +5.1% year-on-year increase in sales volumes was below the market owing to the two following factors. In the 1 st quarter, market growth was driven mainly by competitor promotional campaigns which Michelin did not follow. Furthermore, in Eastern Europe, the Group resolved to favor a steady cash-in in euros, raising prices in order to compensate for the depreciation of local currencies. In the 3 rd quarter, Michelin gained market share in winter tires in Germany, Austria and Switzerland. However, higher than expected demand for its new Alpin range in Europe led to product shortages and an unsatisfactory order fill rate, especially in Eastern Europe. During the 4 th quarter, as order fill rates were gradually brought back to satisfactory levels, Michelin was able to meet demand and to outperform the market. Michelin's product and category mix further improved over the year, with a strong rise in VZ and 4x4 tire sales compared with 2002. In North America, sales were down 0.9% compared to the full year 2002. This results from some losses in market share in both mass market and the H-rated tire segments in the first 9 months of the year, combined with some capacity shortages in the SUV segment in the second half. Conversely, the launch in September of the Michelin HydroEdge(tm) range in the mass-market segment and the new BF Goodrich Traction T/A in the H-rated segment, recorded a strong success. In the 4 th quarter, the emphasis was on the quality of the Group market share: the Group's brand mix improved substantially in favor of ‘flagship' brands and at the expense of ‘private' brands. Price increases up to 5% were introduced on February 1, 2004 throughout the scope of Group products. In South America, the Group benefited from better replacement markets in Brazil and Argentina despite continuation of unfavorable exchange rate environment and the closure of the Venezuelian market to imports. In Asia, the Group pursued its focused growth policy centered on high added value segments. In China, sales continued to outperform the market: net Michelin and Warrior branded tire sales grew more than 30%. - In European Original Equipment, Michelin has gradually stabilized its market position since the non-renewal, from August 2002, of the supply contract with General Motors. The Group was even able to show a gain in market share in the 4 th quarter. Similarly, in North America, despite a bear market, Michelin further enhanced its mix. As evidenced in 2002 and throughout the current year, Group sales clearly outpaced the market and additional significant market share gains were achieved in the ‘SUV' and ‘Performance' segments. In the light of the unfavorable raw material pricing environment, price increases were announced early 2004. (c) Western (15 main markets) and Eastern Europe (excl. Community of Independent States) (d) United States, Canada and Mexico (e) Asia, South America, Africa and Middle East 3.2 Truck Net sales were up 0.6% year-on-year despite highly unfavorable exchange rates. New tire sales volumes up +4.2% and a better original equipment/ replacement mix together with higher unit prices, enabled this business to post positive growth. Sales volume variations (change in %, 2003 / 2002)
Truck 
Total 
Replacement(a) 
Replacement 
Original 
Original 
(in units sold)   Market Equipment Equipment 
     Market 
Total 4.20% 4.80% N/A 3.00% N/A 
Europe 2.20% 3.60% + 2.3%(b) + 0.1%(c) + 2.8%(d) 
North America 4.80% 6.00% + 1.5%e 2.50% 4.60% 
Other geographical areas(e) 6.70% 4.90% N/A 20.30% N/A 
- In European Replacement, Michelin new tire sales and market share increased compared with the same period last year. In Eastern Europe, sales, backed by the Group multi-brand strategy, posted strong growth, especially on the most profitable segments . In a continually declining retread market, Group sales volumes continued to grow, showing significant progress in Northern and Eastern Europe. In North America, Group sales again outperformed the market even if Michelin's sales and market share have yet to catch up with 2000 levels. Price increases passed in February 2003 have been sticking and an additional 5% rise was introduced in February 2004. In retread, further progress was achieved in a market up 0.5%. The opening of 12 new Michelin Retread Technology workshops is planned in 2004. In South America, the significant price increases introduced in 2002 and 2003 are holding up and Michelin radial truck tire sales were up. In Asia, Michelin's radial tire sales were up again in 2003, especially in China, in line with the trend recorded for the last 2 years. In Middle East and Africa, sales volumes posted significant growth: the reopening of the Algiers factory boosted Group sales and market share in Algeria. In South Africa, in the supportive context of growing markets and stronger rand, Group sales performed well. In the Middle-East, Michelin sales also benefited from strong demand. - In European Original equipment, the trailer segment eroded further, although at a slower pace than in the first half. This explains why Group sales (power units + trailers) look slacker than the power unit market. Michelin's strategy is to rebalance its operations in the original and replacement equipment markets in order to deliver optimal service quality across all markets, while improving its overall profitability and return on assets. In North America, the Group's overall market share in original equipment was down slightly in 2003. The strong pick up in trailer segment sales that largely drove market growth was not to the Group's advantage since it is stronger on the more technical power units segment. Michelin also applied the strategy described above to strike a better balance of its sales between original equipment and replacement in North America. In this connection, it reached a first of a series. Sales of Michelin X-One, which is the only wide single tire actually distributed in North America, more than doubled in 2003. (a) New tires (b) Western Europe (c) Sales power units + trailers (d) Power units market (e) Radial + bias truck market USA+ Canada + Mexico 3.3 Other activities At EUR 4.86 billion, the Other activities net sales are up 4.8% for the full year 2003. The bulk of the growth was due to acquisition of the distribution activities of Viborg by Euromaster. Excluding changes in consolidation scope, sales were down 3.5%. US dollar depreciation to the tune of 16.5% against the euro continued to erode the dollar-denominated net sales of this segment. This was particularly true for TCI and Earthmover sales after conversion, as they are mostly US dollar-denominated - and also for Aircraft sales, since the US dollar is the reference currency for most commercial transactions. With respect to retailing, Euromaster net sales improved in 2003, driven by retail activities in light vehicles and commercial vehicles and by growing turnover from service operations. However, one should note that market conditions in the UK remained particularly difficult throughout 2003 with an increased pricing pressure from other distribution players. In Germany, Viborg net sales began to grow again in the 4 th quarter 2003. In North America, TCI net sales were up, on the back of significant growth in retread manufacturing and in consumer tire distribution. In Earthmover tires, markets, and especially the North American one, recovered in 2003 after 3 consecutive years of decline. Mining companies have benefited from the currently high level of raw material prices and tended to expand their production capacity. The depreciation of the dollar continued to impact net sales severely but the environment was supportive with both Group sales volumes and market share up. Agricultural tire sales volumes were sharply affected by the decline in the European replacement market caused by the heat wave that hit Europe during the summer as well as the consecutive drought. However, Michelin improved its product-mix by focusing on the premium segments of the market. The Group launched a highly innovative low-pressure solution, Xeobib, that won 4 innovation awards including Innovation Gold Metal Award at the Hanover Agritechnica Fair. This clearly confirms Michelin's technological leadership in the agricultural tire industry. Despite the depressed environment of the airline industry, Michelin Aircraft was able to increase sales volumes in 2003. The financial year was also a landmark year for radial technology which is becoming the next standard for the aircraft industry: the radialization rate of new airplanes has now reached 60% and Michelin signed a contract to supply radial tires for the new Airbus A-380. The Two-wheel tire business in Europe was affected by supply issues despite growing demand for Michelin radial motorbike tires. Sales volumes posted good progress in North America through market share gains in the motocross segment. Lastly, despite a 3% decline of its market and production over-capacity of the industry, the steel Wheel manufacturing business posted an increase in sales volumes. In January 2003, the Group announced a set of measures aimed at reorganizing this business; these are currently being implemented. * * * 4. Fourth quarter
Net sales 
4th quarter 2003 
VarQ4 2003/ Q4 2002 (in %) 
 (in E million)  
Group 4,221.1 6.60% 
Passenger Car & Light truck 1,911.2 -4.40% 
Truck 1,040.6 3.50% 
Other activities 1,592.4 32.20% 
Inter-sector eliminations -323.1 28.90% 
Sales volumes variations (% change, 4 th quarter 2003/ 4 th quarter 2002)
 
Total 
Replacement 
Original 
    Equipment(a) 
Group (in tons(b)) 5.50% 4.90% 6.80% 
Passenger Car & Light Truck (in units 2.90% 4.40% -0.80% 
sold)    
Truck (in units sold(c)) 6.10% 3.80% 11.90% 
Other tire activities (in tons) 4.40% 1.90% 10.30% 
Passenger Car/ Light Truck 
Total 
Replacement 
Replacement 
Original 
Original 
(in units sold)   Market Equipment Equipment 
     Market 
Total 2.90% 4.40% N/A -0.80% N/A 
Europe(c) 5.30% 7.30% 4.10% 1.40% 0.50% 
North America(d) 0.00% 1.30% 2.40% -4.10% 0.70% 
Other geographical areas(e) 5.30% 7.80% N/A 0.10% N/A 
Truck 
Total 
Replacement(d) 
Replacement 
Original 
Original 
(in units sold)   Market Equipment Equipment 
     Market 
Total 6.10% 3.80% N/A 11.90% N/A 
Europe 0.50% -1.20% - 2.8%(e) + 3.3%(f) + 2.1%(g) 
North America 9.30% 1.20% + 5.1%h 27.90% 18.70% 
Other geographical areas(e) 11.70% 11.50% N/A 13.50% N/A 
(a) Original equipment: sales to vehicle manufacturers (b) Refers to the sale of tire products. Distribution, maps and guides and suspension systems sales not included. (c) Number of new tires (c) Western (15 main markets) and Eastern Europe (excl. Community of Independent States) (d) United States, Canada and Mexico (e) Asia, South America, Africa and Middle East (d) New tires (e) Western Europe (f) Sales power units + trailers (g) Power units market (h) Radial + bias truck market USA+ Canada + Mexico Compagnie Financière Michelin In 2003, Compagnie Financière Michelin (CFM) ‘s net sales amounted to EUR 15.6 billion, down 1.7% on last year. At constant exchange rates, by contrast, net sales expressed in euros are up 7.1%. In so far as Compagnie Générale des Etablissements Michelin has almost the same scope of activities as Compagnie Financière Michelin, the qualitative comments on net sales apply to CFM as well. * * * Full year 2003 earnings will be published on Tuesday February 24, 2004, before the Paris Bourse opens (8:00am CET). * * * Contacts Eric Le Corre: +33 (0)1 45 66 10 04 / + 33 (0)4 73 32 77 92 eric.le-corre@fr.michelin.com Laurent Cavard: +33 (0)4 73 32 18 02 / +33 (0)1 45 66 16 15 laurent.cavard@fr.michelin.com * * * For more information, visit the ' Finance ' section at http://www.michelin.com/corporate Questions / answers 1. You mention operating conditions globally in line with Group expectations as foreseen on October, 22. Could you tell us the consequences in terms of operating margin? On October, 22 2003, upon publication of 9 months sales, Michelin indicated that the Group could achieve, at constant scope, an operating margin slightly below 2002 (7.8%) based on operating conditions estimated at end October, including in particular a significant rise in raw material costs, estimated at 350 million dollars impacting its operating expenses. Full-year earnings will be released on February 24, 2004. 2. Michelin 2003 sales were impacted negatively by appreciation of the euro versus the USD. Could you tell us what the extent to which Michelin is sensitive to USD variations ? Michelin is relatively dollar neutral in a stable situation. The Group earns slightly less than 50% of its net sales outside of Europe, with 35% of net sales being earned in North America. The majority of its raw materials, however, is purchased either in dollars, or using the US dollar as a currency base, or in other currencies that are tied to the dollar. Part of these raw materials is consumed in Europe. A drop in the dollar/euro exchange rate has the following effects: - On net sales: an immediate negative impact on net sales in dollars outside of Europe - On profits: . an immediate negative impact on the conversion of North American results for sales outside of Europe; . an immediate negative impact on sales realized in dollars from Europe; . an impact on the cost structure through a drop in raw material prices in Europe.. This impact is delayed because of a lag time effect on Michelin's supply structure (the average time period between the purchase of raw material and its inclusion in the cost of goods sold is of 4 to 6 months). In a stable situation and when considered globally, this effect is relatively neutral at the operating level. On the other hand, on account of the lag built into the Group cost structure, any drop in the dollar versus the euro has a negative impact on earnings. 3. Could you tell us what are the consequences of the Viborg acquisition on Group sales? For Michelin, additional sales generated by the Viborg acquisition amount to EUR 313 million, corresponding to the impact of changes in the scope of consolidation versus FY 2002 indicated by the Group. This contribution to Group sales is in line with the information published on October, 22 2003. This EUR 313m amount corresponds to Viborg sales since its acquisition by from which were deducted intra-group transactions between Viborg and other Michelin group entities. Wholly integrated into Group accounts in the scope changes effect, Viborg sales are not therefore included in other factors affecting sales such as mix / price effect or volume effect. 4. Your competitor Goodyear announced signature of contracts with Volvo, especially in North America where it becomes the standard supplier. What will be the impact for Michelin ? Michelin Group renewed in 2003, its 3- year contracts with Volvo industrial vehicles in Europe and North America. These agreements concern, in particular, OE supply of truck tires to equip Renault and Volvo trucks assembled in Europe and Volvo and Mack trucks assembled in North America. In Europe, Michelin confirms its position as reference tire supplier to Volvo Group. In North America, the Volvo-Mack agreement gives Michelin the status of preferred supplier and a more balanced share of Volvo and Mack brand accounts. These agreements come for Michelin at a time when world production capacities for radial Truck tires are saturated and when demand is expected to rise in the years to come. It is in line with Michelin's strategy to better balance its operations in the original and replacement equipment markets in order to deliver optimal service quality across all markets, while improving its overall profitability and return on assets. Note that most truck buyers avail themselves of the opportunity of selecting the tire brand mounted on their vehicles even if this brand is not the standard equipment defined by the truck maker. 5. The price-mix effect seems to be slowing down. Is this linked with the difficulty in making price rises stick, or are you suffering from an unfavorable mix? The price rises announced and passed by the Group in Europe, North America, Asia and the rest of the world are sticking. The product - mix in particular within the passenger car/light truck activity is permanently enriched. As a result, the price per ton rises both by product line and market. On the other hand, consolidated at Group level, the price / mix effect posts slower growth towards the end of the year 2003, owing to the recovery of OE truck and earthmovers markets, particularly marked in the 4 th quarter. * * * (C) Companynews

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